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Obamania and
American realpolitik
By Bolaji Akinyemi and Akin
Oyebode
(Guardian
Newspaper, Feb 12th, 2008)
FOR
quite understandable reasons, Nigeria and Nigerians
cannot but be interested in political goings-on in the
United States. Aside from the historical fact that the
bulk of African-Americans have their roots in Nigeria,
the international nuisance value of Uncle Sam is such
that we ignore events in America only to our peril. As
the sole existing Superpower in the world endowed with
the ability to make our lives miserable if we dare cross
its path, the U.S. has continued to be a country that
dominates the consciousness of not only countries of the
so-called Third World but, in fact, the entire world.
The entry of Barak
Hussein Obama into the race to the White House has
ignited tremendous interest, especially among
African-Americans and indeed Africans, a situation that
can be explained by the historical marginalisation of
black people. Of course, Obama is not the first black to
have dropped his hat to the U.S. presidential ring but
the flair he has brought to the race through his
charisma and perceptiveness has been so infective, much
more so than his predecessors that mere hip-hop
popularity is beginning to translate to credibility and
electability. Doubting Thomases have now been compelled
to change their minds and seriously consider the
possibility of a black First Family in 1700
Massachusetts Avenue.
Of course, the real
possibility of Obama securing the nomination of the
Democratic Party has set alarm bells ringing among
Republicans and conservatives generally. Paradoxically,
some have, in fact, discerned a conspiracy by right-wing
elements to push Obama's candidacy because he was deemed
an easier candidate to beat than Hillary Clinton! The
reason for this is supposed to be the deep-seated,
ingrained racist feelings across America. Thus, despite
the media hype over Obama's campaign of change, some
observers insist that America is not ready for a black
President just as others also say it's not time yet for
a female President. However, no-one can discount the
fact that the Ivy League-educated son of a Kenyan father
and a Kansas white mother has pushed the political
stakes higher than they have ever been by a non-WASP
contender. As the Americans love to say, the world loves
a winner and nothing succeeds like success. Even some
African Americans who expressed some antipathy towards
his candidacy because he "wasn't black enough" would, by
now, have been compelled to revise their bets. His
uncanny ability to address people across racial, gender
and class lines seemed to have given him a toe hold on
the nomination.
Furthermore, Obama's
remarkable ability to raise funds has helped put a seal
on the credibility of his candidacy. As is well-known,
U.S. politics is incredibly expensive which has led many
to believe that ideas are just not enough. Only mega
bucks can transform those ideas into votes. That Obama's
war chest is constantly replenished by contributions
from millions of his supporters and well-wishers is
enough evidence that he is set to give Hillary Clinton a
run for her money.
No doubt, Mrs. Clinton
is an astute and strong contender who, if push came to
shove, can arrest Obama's roller coaster but it seems
her campaign of experience which, if the truth is to be
told, is largely based on her role as former First Lady,
might prove insufficient to restrain the forces of
change. Many voters would recall that her sojourn in the
White House was not altogether pleasant, what with the
Monica Lewinsky affair and other less than salutary
record of her husband. Besides, her initial support for
the war in Iraq could prove to be her Achilles' heel,
moreso in a country that has robbed George Bush of many
points in the public opinion polls on account of his
warmonger image.
Inevitably, goings-on
in the Republican Party would influence the decision of
who gets the nomination of the Democratic Party. With
the fortunes of John McCane on the ascendancy, the
strategists of the Democrats would be on overdrive in
making projections as to who can better beat him. It
should also not be forgotten that the Republican
front-runner has the reputation of a maverick and is
only grudgingly tolerated by the more conservative
elements in his party. Besides, his aversion for
economic matters is legendary when, in the final
analysis, matters of jobs, health, housing, education
and interest rates could be decisive in the reckoning of
many Americans.
What it all adds up to
is that Obama has an inside track in the Presidential
race and the Democrats would be best served by
galvanising the interest and panache generated by him in
order not to by default return the Republicans to the
White House. The young people whose imagination has been
fired by Obamamania, the broad coalition that he has
been able to create among the unions, minorities, rural
poor and urban disinherited must not be discounted in
this epic battle. Obama has unleashed forces not
witnessed on the American political terrain since the
Kennedy years. To refuse to acknowledge the Obama
phenomenon and momentum would simply be an act of
stupidity and knavery.
For the rest of us out
of Africa, we can only wait and watch with bated breath
at the unfolding scenario. If Americans are not to
snatch defeat from the jaws of victory, then they should
put their money where their mouths are by cutting their
political losses and restoring their positive image
throughout the world. It seems, to all intents and
purposes, that the only person who can make that happen
now is the American with the unlikely name of Barak
Hussein Obama!
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